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Qual 312015 Hawaii Regional
Red139
477422.0
36854.0
246529.4
Blue107
209030.1
562517.6
244345.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79680204060100120140160139107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#3
54.04.9
35.5→40.4
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 8.2
2443
#5
45.81.7
35.7→37.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
2465
#9
29.42.9
20.8→23.8
Auto1.3
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 0.7
2090
#16
30.12.9
24.4→27.3
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Third
4774
#22
22.02.9
24.0→26.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
5625
#26
17.62.9
12.5→15.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0