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Red38
372123.1
19722.7
243831.8
Blue70
562517.6
247719.7
477422.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049204060801003870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#11
31.81.0
21.220.3
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 9.8
4774
#22
22.00.9
26.927.8
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
Second
3721
#23
23.11.0
18.817.9
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 3.4
2477
#21
19.71.4
10.712.1
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
1972
#36
2.71.0
9.78.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0
blue by 14.9
5625
#26
17.61.4
15.416.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0