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Red18
477422.0
530713.4
244519.5
Blue18
289610.1
243727.4
19722.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001201818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#22
22.02.0
27.825.8
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2437
#18
27.41.4
24.423.0
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Second
2445
#24
19.53.1
14.411.3
Auto0.7
Teleop18.8
End0.0
red by 9.4
2896
#31
10.12.2
13.711.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.5
End0.0
Third
5307
#34
13.43.1
15.812.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 10.7
1972
#36
2.72.2
8.76.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop3.1
End0.0