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Qual 462015 Hawaii Regional
Red123
388117.6
244345.8
425341.3
Blue69
372123.1
562517.6
388232.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9156015020012369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#5
45.81.7
38.4→40.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 13.3
3882
#14
32.50.3
29.1→29.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Second
4253
#8
41.31.7
36.0→37.7
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 18.2
3721
#23
23.10.4
17.9→18.3
Auto0.9
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
3881
#25
17.61.7
14.9→16.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Level
5625
#26
17.60.4
16.8→17.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0