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Qual 452015 Hawaii Regional
Red159
300826.9
243831.8
1142.2
Blue135
250422.8
574926.3
35961.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7290050150200250159135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#7
42.24.1
36.7→40.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 18.9
359
#1
61.12.2
55.4→57.6
Auto-0.8
Teleop61.9
End0.0
Second
2438
#11
31.86.3
20.3→26.6
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
5749
#15
26.33.5
19.4→22.9
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
3008
#12
26.94.1
20.8→24.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
2504
#20
22.83.5
15.4→18.9
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0