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Qual 442015 Hawaii Regional
Red117
234826.7
393336.7
388019.9
Blue156
36854.0
137816.4
285328.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60770100150200250300117156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3933
#6
36.72.6
29.1→31.7
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
blue by 17.3
368
#3
54.06.1
41.0→47.1
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
2348
#19
26.74.1
19.2→23.2
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2853
#17
28.96.1
24.4→30.6
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
3880
#30
19.94.1
16.4→20.4
Auto0.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 3.5
1378
#27
16.46.1
11.7→17.8
Auto1.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0