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Red58
246529.4
574926.3
245913.8
Blue43
570111.7
61043.7
530713.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63602040801001205843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.3
27.627.3
Auto1.3
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 14.3
610
#10
43.70.8
41.841.1
Auto0.5
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
5749
#15
26.30.4
22.922.5
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 12.9
5307
#34
13.41.1
12.711.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
2459
#32
13.80.4
13.312.9
Auto0.7
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
5701
#33
11.71.1
9.58.4
Auto1.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0