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Red69
289610.1
234826.7
209030.1
Blue85
388019.9
243925.5
250422.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566301001502002503003506985

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2090
#16
30.10.7
24.325.0
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 4.6
2439
#13
25.51.1
24.625.7
Auto0.9
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
2348
#19
26.70.7
23.223.9
Auto0.7
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 3.8
2504
#20
22.81.5
18.920.4
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2896
#31
10.10.7
11.512.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 9.8
3880
#30
19.91.5
20.422.0
Auto0.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0