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Qual 622015 Hawaii Regional
Red124
247719.7
244345.8
388232.5
Blue69
300826.9
393336.7
477422.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8684406010012014012469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2443
#5
45.81.8
41.3→43.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
red by 9.1
3933
#6
36.71.0
36.4→35.4
Auto0.7
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Second
3882
#14
32.51.8
28.9→30.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.6
3008
#12
26.91.0
28.5→27.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Third
2477
#21
19.72.2
17.0→19.2
Auto1.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
4774
#22
22.01.0
24.1→23.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.6
End0.0