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Red110
425341.3
285328.9
61043.7
Blue103
36854.0
244413.9
38789.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions118550100150200250110103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#10
43.70.1
41.040.9
Auto0.5
Teleop43.2
End0.0
blue by 10.3
368
#3
54.02.2
49.051.3
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Second
41.30.1
40.740.6
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 27.4
2444
#28
13.92.2
11.213.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Third
2853
#17
28.90.1
30.330.2
Auto0.7
Teleop28.2
End0.0
red by 19.1
3878
#35
9.92.2
6.38.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop10.4
End0.0