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Red111
243925.5
36854.0
570111.7
Blue71
562517.6
243831.8
250422.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846805010015011171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#3
54.01.8
51.353.1
Auto4.2
Teleop49.7
End0.0
red by 22.2
2438
#11
31.80.1
31.931.8
Auto0.8
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
2439
#13
25.51.6
23.124.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 2.7
2504
#20
22.80.1
23.223.1
Auto1.0
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5701
#33
11.71.8
9.911.7
Auto1.5
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 5.9
5625
#26
17.60.1
17.717.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0