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Red168
313260.6
574926.3
209030.1
Blue134
530713.4
243727.4
244345.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10670050150200168134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.63.2
56.659.8
Auto8.6
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 14.8
45.82.8
43.246.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.9
End0.0
Second
2090
#16
30.13.5
25.829.3
Auto0.6
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
2437
#18
27.42.8
24.627.4
Auto0.1
Teleop27.3
End0.0
Third
5749
#15
26.33.5
22.025.6
Auto0.5
Teleop25.8
End0.0
red by 12.9
5307
#34
13.43.1
10.313.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.3
End0.0