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Red184
436263.4
455032.1
531834.2
Blue133
181755.3
78133.1
22327.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11996050150200184133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.43.2
59.162.3
Auto0.5
Teleop62.9
End0.0
red by 8.1
1817
#15
55.31.5
51.452.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
5318
#34
34.23.2
33.536.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0
red by 1.1
781
#28
33.11.5
25.827.3
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0
Third
4550
#58
32.13.2
27.130.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop32.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
223
#50
27.21.5
25.827.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop28.1
End0.0