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Red180
172348.2
167655.3
541352.7
Blue124
174642.7
222848.5
550943.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411950100200250180124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
#41
55.31.8
53.255.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.6
End0.0
red by 6.8
2228
#27
48.50.1
46.646.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
5413
#11
52.71.8
48.249.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 8.9
5509
#21
43.80.1
44.344.2
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
1723
#19
48.21.8
43.445.2
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 5.6
1746
#20
42.70.1
36.135.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0