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Red234
46970.7
121864.7
261457.0
Blue118
201655.6
112447.8
545428.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18811950100150200250234118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#5
70.72.5
70.873.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
red by 15.1
2016
#16
55.60.8
54.954.0
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
Second
64.72.5
64.366.8
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
red by 16.9
1124
#22
47.80.8
50.149.3
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
57.02.5
48.451.0
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
red by 29.0
5454
#49
28.00.8
29.228.4
Auto0.9
Teleop27.1
End0.0