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Red79
350131.3
47316.1
278350.6
Blue134
253128.4
3380.8
531834.2
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6915605010020025079134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#38
50.60.3
48.848.5
Auto1.2
Teleop49.3
End0.0
blue by 30.3
33
#4
80.80.7
84.884.1
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
3501
#51
31.30.3
28.328.0
Auto1.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5318
#34
34.20.7
36.736.0
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0
Third
4731
#76
6.10.3
8.17.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 22.3
2531
#48
28.40.7
26.025.3
Auto0.5
Teleop27.9
End0.0