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Red130
395040.1
368366.6
16643.4
Blue130
393922.9
541352.7
34340.7
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1649750150200250130130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#12
66.61.5
71.169.6
Auto4.5
Teleop62.2
End0.0
red by 13.9
5413
#11
52.70.9
49.950.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
166
#24
43.41.5
46.745.2
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
343
#43
40.70.9
39.940.8
Auto1.4
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
3950
#23
40.11.5
42.040.5
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 17.2
3939
#68
22.90.9
21.922.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0