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Red186
78133.1
206443.9
222848.5
Blue92
282695.2
502424.8
448617.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10114305020025030018692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#27
48.53.7
46.450.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
blue by 46.7
95.22.5
94.191.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
Second
2064
#40
43.93.7
37.841.5
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 19.1
5024
#75
24.82.5
27.825.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
781
#28
33.13.7
27.331.0
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0
red by 15.8
4486
#66
17.32.5
19.717.2
Auto-1.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0