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Red204
368853.1
458912.2
54888.8
Blue116
542821.6
556238.4
181755.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14810050200250204116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#3
88.82.9
85.688.5
Auto1.8
Teleop87.0
End0.0
red by 33.5
1817
#15
55.30.5
52.953.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
3688
#32
53.12.9
53.956.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 14.7
5562
#39
38.40.5
40.541.1
Auto0.2
Teleop38.3
End0.0
Third
4589
#72
12.22.9
6.29.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 9.4
5428
#62
21.60.5
17.718.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0