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Red188
511827.5
10340.6
26360.9
Blue175
550943.8
455032.1
373543.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091086080100120140160180188175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
60.93.9
55.459.3
Auto2.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 17.0
3735
#25
43.93.0
40.843.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
103
#35
40.63.9
33.837.7
Auto0.9
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
5509
#21
43.83.0
44.247.2
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
5118
#47
27.53.9
20.724.6
Auto-1.8
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4550
#58
32.13.0
30.433.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop32.9
End0.0