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Red130
179630.9
253023.3
172348.2
Blue144
557643.4
493033.8
362041.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions971120200300400500600700130144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#19
48.21.4
45.246.5
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 4.8
5576
#17
43.41.5
42.043.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.7
End0.0
Second
1796
#53
30.91.4
33.234.6
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 10.7
3620
#56
41.61.5
41.543.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
Third
2530
#71
23.31.4
24.325.7
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 10.5
4930
#65
33.81.5
30.231.7
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0