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Red128
234432.7
22327.2
12556.7
Blue182
440532.0
174642.7
439152.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1181096080100140160180128182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#18
56.70.4
57.658.0
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
red by 4.3
4391
#30
52.43.4
46.950.3
Auto0.7
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Second
2344
#31
32.70.4
36.036.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop33.9
End0.0
blue by 10.0
1746
#20
42.73.4
35.939.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Third
223
#50
27.20.4
27.327.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
4405
#61
32.03.4
31.234.6
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0