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Red190
458912.2
253128.4
98797.5
Blue170
304236.9
206443.9
541352.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12511880100140160180190170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
97.53.1
94.197.2
Auto8.9
Teleop88.7
End0.0
red by 44.8
5413
#11
52.72.3
50.853.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
2531
#48
28.43.1
25.328.4
Auto0.5
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 15.5
2064
#40
43.92.3
41.543.9
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
4589
#72
12.23.1
9.112.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 24.7
3042
#29
36.92.3
31.033.4
Auto0.7
Teleop36.2
End0.0