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Red184
511827.5
325555.1
181755.3
Blue174
3380.8
222848.5
46970.7
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105218050150200250300350184174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#15
55.32.9
53.456.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 25.5
33
#4
80.81.7
84.182.5
Auto6.8
Teleop74.0
End0.0
Second
3255
#10
55.12.9
48.751.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 15.6
469
#5
70.71.7
73.471.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
Third
5118
#47
27.52.9
24.627.5
Auto-1.8
Teleop29.3
End0.0
blue by 21.0
2228
#27
48.51.7
50.148.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0