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Red86
373543.9
393922.9
448617.3
Blue221
350131.3
501539.2
282695.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6516505010015020025086221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#25
43.90.1
43.843.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 51.3
95.23.3
91.694.9
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
Second
3939
#68
22.90.1
22.822.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
blue by 16.3
5015
#37
39.23.3
35.939.2
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
4486
#66
17.30.1
17.217.3
Auto-1.1
Teleop18.4
End0.0
blue by 14.0
3501
#51
31.33.3
28.031.3
Auto1.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0