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Red156
493033.8
78133.1
261457.0
Blue123
426534.9
259070.2
250015.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081190200300400500156123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.02.1
51.053.1
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
blue by 13.2
70.20.1
71.171.1
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
Second
4930
#65
33.82.1
31.733.8
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4265
#45
34.90.1
34.734.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Third
781
#28
33.12.1
31.033.1
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0
red by 17.5
2500
#73
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0