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Red34
218320.0
47316.1
7835.9
Blue70
22327.2
502424.8
283026.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628001001502002503003470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#70
35.91.7
38.136.4
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
red by 8.8
223
#50
27.20.5
27.727.2
Auto-0.9
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Second
2183
#57
20.01.7
21.620.0
Auto0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
2830
#63
26.90.5
27.526.9
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
4731
#76
6.11.7
7.76.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 18.7
5024
#75
24.80.5
25.324.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop25.1
End0.0