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Red48
179630.9
234432.7
368853.1
Blue95
1146.7
172348.2
531834.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12612360801001401601802004895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#32
53.13.7
56.853.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
1723
#19
48.21.8
46.544.7
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
2344
#31
32.73.7
36.432.7
Auto-1.2
Teleop33.9
End0.0
blue by 14.0
11
#54
46.71.8
48.546.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Third
1796
#53
30.93.7
34.630.9
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 3.3
5318
#34
34.21.8
36.034.2
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0