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Red120
12556.7
16643.4
167655.3
Blue182
54888.8
81136.0
153323.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160135100150200120182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#18
56.71.8
58.056.2
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 32.1
548
#3
88.81.9
88.590.4
Auto1.8
Teleop87.0
End0.0
Second
1676
#41
55.31.8
58.756.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.6
End0.0
red by 19.3
811
#67
36.01.9
34.036.0
Auto0.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
166
#24
43.41.8
45.243.4
Auto1.7
Teleop41.7
End0.0
red by 20.2
1533
#55
23.21.9
21.323.2
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0