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Red106
577124.2
172348.2
34340.7
Blue22
511827.5
501539.2
47316.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11355010015020010622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#19
48.20.1
43.643.5
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 9.1
5015
#37
39.21.3
34.833.5
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
343
#43
40.70.1
37.537.4
Auto1.4
Teleop39.3
End0.0
red by 13.2
5118
#47
27.51.3
17.115.8
Auto-1.8
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Third
5771
#60
24.20.1
26.826.7
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 18.1
4731
#76
6.11.3
14.413.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop6.7
End0.0