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Red129
439152.4
479919.9
326635.6
Blue179
78133.1
550943.8
46970.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76134050100150200250129179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#30
52.42.1
46.848.8
Auto0.7
Teleop51.7
End0.0
blue by 18.3
469
#5
70.72.5
68.370.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
Second
3266
#46
35.62.1
26.928.9
Auto0.8
Teleop34.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5509
#21
43.82.5
35.437.8
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
Third
4799
#69
19.92.1
14.016.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 13.3
781
#28
33.12.5
26.128.5
Auto0.9
Teleop32.2
End0.0