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Red144
7835.9
216944.8
531834.2
Blue104
362041.6
251248.2
373543.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87149050100200250144104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#26
44.82.2
34.036.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop44.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2512
#52
48.22.0
54.552.5
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
78
#70
35.92.2
38.240.4
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
3735
#25
43.92.0
43.241.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
5318
#34
34.22.4
27.830.2
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 7.3
3620
#56
41.62.0
46.944.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0