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Red100
181755.3
81136.0
10340.6
Blue121
549318.5
541352.7
112447.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081006080120140160100121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
#15
55.30.5
42.241.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
5413
#11
52.70.8
41.342.1
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Second
103
#35
40.60.5
33.432.9
Auto0.9
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 7.2
1124
#22
47.80.8
46.647.4
Auto1.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
811
#67
36.00.5
34.934.4
Auto0.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 17.5
5493
#59
18.50.9
16.817.7
Auto1.1
Teleop17.3
End0.0