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Red98
362041.6
350131.3
34340.7
Blue156
57361.9
121864.7
218320.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9714805020025030098156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3620
#56
41.60.5
44.944.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.8
End0.0
blue by 23.2
64.70.6
64.364.8
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
Second
343
#43
40.70.5
37.436.9
Auto1.4
Teleop39.3
End0.0
blue by 21.2
573
#13
61.90.6
61.361.8
Auto2.6
Teleop59.2
End0.0
Third
3501
#51
31.30.5
26.125.6
Auto1.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
red by 11.3
2183
#57
20.00.6
19.319.9
Auto0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0