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Qual 302015 Hopper Division
Red170
395040.1
542821.6
439152.4
Blue141
206443.9
81136.0
179630.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8799050150200250300170141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#30
52.43.9
48.8→52.7
Auto0.7
Teleop51.7
End0.0
red by 8.5
2064
#40
43.92.0
38.2→40.2
Auto0.8
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Second
3950
#23
40.14.3
29.7→34.0
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
red by 4.2
811
#67
36.02.0
34.4→36.4
Auto0.5
Teleop35.5
End0.0
Third
5428
#62
21.63.9
13.7→17.6
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 9.3
1796
#53
30.92.0
28.0→30.0
Auto0.5
Teleop30.4
End0.0