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Red73
153323.2
557643.4
577124.2
Blue97
393922.9
283026.9
181755.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87835060701001101207397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5576
#17
43.40.9
39.538.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop43.7
End0.0
blue by 11.9
1817
#15
55.30.8
41.642.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
5771
#60
24.20.9
26.725.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2830
#63
26.90.8
23.424.2
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
1533
#55
23.20.9
23.823.0
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 0.3
3939
#68
22.91.0
22.023.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0