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Red111
491827.4
12556.7
172348.2
Blue128
46970.7
455032.1
7835.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126141050100200250300350111128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#18
56.71.1
54.053.0
Auto0.8
Teleop55.9
End0.0
blue by 14.0
469
#5
70.70.8
70.870.0
Auto-1.2
Teleop71.9
End0.0
Second
1723
#19
48.21.1
43.542.4
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
red by 12.3
78
#70
35.90.8
40.439.6
Auto0.6
Teleop35.4
End0.0
Third
4918
#74
27.41.1
35.234.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4550
#58
32.10.8
32.932.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop32.9
End0.0