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Red94
251248.2
153323.2
550943.8
Blue35
542821.6
253023.3
350131.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1245401001502009435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#52
48.21.2
55.754.5
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 16.9
3501
#51
31.31.6
25.523.9
Auto1.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Second
5509
#21
43.81.2
36.635.4
Auto0.3
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 20.5
2530
#71
23.32.1
26.224.0
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
1533
#55
23.21.2
25.424.2
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
5428
#62
21.62.0
15.313.4
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0