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Red154
501539.2
222848.5
98797.5
Blue88
395040.1
250015.6
10340.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16757010015020025030015488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#1
97.50.8
76.277.0
Auto8.9
Teleop88.7
End0.0
red by 56.9
103
#35
40.60.6
32.933.4
Auto0.9
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
2228
#27
48.50.8
45.746.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
3950
#23
40.10.7
27.828.5
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Third
5015
#37
39.20.8
34.034.8
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 23.6
2500
#73
15.60.6
16.316.8
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0