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Red108
531834.2
501539.2
440532.0
Blue148
368366.6
304236.9
153323.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90118050150200108148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5015
#37
39.20.5
34.134.6
Auto2.4
Teleop36.8
End0.0
blue by 27.5
3683
#12
66.61.5
72.774.2
Auto4.5
Teleop62.2
End0.0
Second
5318
#34
34.20.5
33.233.7
Auto2.1
Teleop32.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3042
#29
36.91.5
22.724.2
Auto0.7
Teleop36.2
End0.0
Third
4405
#61
32.00.5
30.230.7
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 8.8
1533
#55
23.21.5
22.123.6
Auto2.1
Teleop21.1
End0.0