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Red138
201655.6
174642.7
493033.8
Blue130
395040.1
432938.7
511827.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12175050100150200138130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#16
55.61.0
53.154.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop56.5
End0.0
red by 15.5
3950
#23
40.12.3
35.037.2
Auto0.7
Teleop39.5
End0.0
Second
1746
#20
42.71.0
34.135.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
red by 3.9
4329
#36
38.72.3
29.932.1
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Third
4930
#65
33.81.0
30.631.6
Auto0.6
Teleop33.2
End0.0
red by 6.3
5118
#47
27.52.3
19.922.1
Auto-1.8
Teleop29.3
End0.0