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Red148
350131.3
139126.6
436263.4
Blue256
282695.2
172348.2
10340.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86169050100150200250300148256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.42.3
56.258.5
Auto0.5
Teleop62.9
End0.0
blue by 31.8
95.24.7
90.995.6
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
Second
3501
#51
31.32.3
28.630.9
Auto1.8
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 17.0
1723
#19
48.24.7
41.546.2
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Third
1391
#42
26.62.3
17.519.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 14.1
103
#35
40.64.7
29.434.1
Auto0.9
Teleop39.7
End0.0