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Red152
577124.2
325555.1
259070.2
Blue80
479919.9
121864.7
373543.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241188010014016018015280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.21.2
63.765.0
Auto1.0
Teleop69.1
End0.0
red by 5.5
64.72.2
64.862.6
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
Second
3255
#10
55.11.2
40.641.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 11.2
3735
#25
43.92.2
39.437.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
5771
#60
24.21.2
23.124.3
Auto0.2
Teleop24.0
End0.0
red by 4.3
4799
#69
19.92.2
19.217.1
Auto-0.9
Teleop20.8
End0.0