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Red100
455032.1
282695.2
542821.6
Blue138
440532.0
541352.7
325555.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14511050200250100138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.22.2
95.693.4
Auto14.2
Teleop80.9
End0.0
red by 40.1
3255
#10
55.10.9
41.942.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Second
4550
#58
32.12.2
29.427.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop32.9
End0.0
blue by 20.6
5413
#11
52.70.9
47.248.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Third
5428
#62
21.62.2
19.617.3
Auto-0.9
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 10.4
4405
#61
32.00.9
30.731.6
Auto1.0
Teleop31.0
End0.0