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Red161
121864.7
326635.6
413043.6
Blue69
251248.2
172348.2
260925.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130119608010014016018020016169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.71.4
62.664.0
Auto1.3
Teleop63.4
End0.0
red by 16.5
1723
#19
48.22.8
46.243.4
Auto1.5
Teleop46.7
End0.0
Second
4130
#33
43.61.4
42.143.5
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2512
#52
48.22.8
48.045.2
Auto10.2
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Third
3266
#46
35.61.4
28.229.6
Auto0.8
Teleop34.8
End0.0
red by 10.2
2609
#64
25.42.8
31.328.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop26.5
End0.0