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Red110
283026.9
373543.9
304236.9
Blue141
426534.9
222848.5
261457.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77125050100150200250110141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#25
43.91.1
37.238.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 13.1
57.00.9
47.548.4
Auto3.6
Teleop53.4
End0.0
Second
3042
#29
36.91.1
27.228.3
Auto0.7
Teleop36.2
End0.0
blue by 11.6
2228
#27
48.50.9
45.646.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Third
2830
#63
26.91.1
23.424.5
Auto1.1
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4265
#45
34.90.9
29.130.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.1
End0.0