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Red149
325555.1
253128.4
393922.9
Blue145
218320.0
413043.6
139126.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83814060100120140149145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#10
55.13.2
42.846.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 11.5
4130
#33
43.62.9
43.546.4
Auto-0.8
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
2531
#48
28.43.2
22.726.0
Auto0.5
Teleop27.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
1391
#42
26.62.9
22.925.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Third
3939
#68
22.93.2
18.621.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 2.9
2183
#57
20.02.9
20.323.3
Auto0.0
Teleop19.9
End0.0