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Qual 12015 Midwest Regional
Red132
414367.6
219441.3
43029.7
Blue78
263030.3
64822.8
467616.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8745010015013278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#3
67.62.4
52.8→55.3
Auto1.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
red by 37.2
2630
#23
30.31.5
21.2→22.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
2194
#4
41.33.2
20.6→23.8
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 18.6
648
#32
22.81.2
19.9→21.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
4302
#47
9.74.0
10.1→14.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 7.0
4676
#22
16.82.1
12.2→14.3
Auto0.6
Teleop16.2
End0.0