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Qual 22015 Midwest Regional
Red46
270411.5
17120.6
1650.9
Blue14
409636.1
47023.5
348813.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions784802040601001201401604614

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
50.91.8
33.8→32.0
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 14.8
4096
#24
36.12.0
37.6→35.6
Auto0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Second
171
#39
20.61.5
25.8→24.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 7.5
3488
#38
13.13.3
7.3→3.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
2704
#48
11.51.5
16.6→15.1
Auto0.9
Teleop10.6
End0.0
red by 8.0
4702
#53
3.53.3
9.3→6.0
Auto0.7
Teleop2.8
End0.0