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Red140
348813.1
245154.8
235823.7
Blue156
219441.3
250625.7
162535.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795902040100120140160140156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.83.4
54.658.0
Auto1.2
Teleop53.6
End0.0
red by 13.5
41.35.6
23.829.4
Auto0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
2358
#20
23.73.1
19.923.0
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 11.5
35.25.1
19.024.1
Auto1.1
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Third
3488
#38
13.15.1
3.99.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2506
#25
25.75.6
21.226.8
Auto0.5
Teleop25.2
End0.0